October 2023 – By Bob Veres
We obviously can’t predict a market downturn in advance, but we can certainly prepare for one. With the markets in a bit of a doldrums the past month, that preparation may come in handy in the fairly near future.
October 2023 – By Kyle Rohrwasser
Since July of 2022, we have had an inverted yield curve. This is when the 2-year treasury bond has a higher yield than the 10-year treasury bond. Typically, investors expect to receive a higher yield the longer the maturity of the bond. When the yield curve inverts it signals potential economic stress reflecting the uncertainty over the longer time horizon. Since 1978 the yield curve has inverted 6 times and each time a recession has followed. 2008 being the most recent and deepest.
October 2023 – By Scott Rosenquist, CFA®
The yields on long-term Treasury bonds have climbed higher over the past few months and even more notably after the last Federal Reserve meeting where interest rates were held steady at 5.25-5.50%. The movement in the bond market highlights that while the Federal Reserve controls the policy rate, which yields on shorter maturity bonds track, longer maturities take more variables into consideration. Economic growth and inflation along with supply and demand are some of the factors priced into longer-term bond yields.