Market Memo
October 2023 – By Kyle Rohrwasser
Since July of 2022, we have had an inverted yield curve. This is when the 2-year treasury bond has a higher yield than the 10-year treasury bond. Typically, investors expect to receive a higher yield the longer the maturity of the bond. When the yield curve inverts it signals potential economic stress reflecting the uncertainty over the longer time horizon. Since 1978 the yield curve has inverted 6 times and each time a recession has followed. 2008 being the most recent and deepest.
Continue reading